Durango vs Altamira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 0
DUR
25%
29%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 1
UDG
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TIJ
2 - 0
DUR
52%
26%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 1
IND
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
REB
1 - 4
DUR
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Altamira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ALT
2 - 0
MER
35%
27%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
DOR
0 - 0
ALT
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ALT
1 - 0
LEO
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ALT
0 - 1
VER
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
GUE
2 - 2
ALT
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |