Durango U19 vs Zarautz U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
14º
18º
17º
24
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 74 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 63 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 41 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 40 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 38 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 26 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 24 |
18º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
57% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
DAN
2 - 0
DUR
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DUR
1 - 0
ANT
14%
20%
67%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DUR
1 - 2
EIB
38%
24%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 3
DUR
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
DUR
2 - 0
IND
14%
19%
68%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Zarautz U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ZAR
1 - 2
CDG
66%
19%
16%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BER
3 - 0
ZAR
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ZAR
1 - 3
ATH
22%
20%
58%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 0
ZAR
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ANT
24%
21%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |