Durango U19 vs Tolosa U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
14º
18º
16º
27
6º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 74 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 60 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 25 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
REA
4 - 1
DUR
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
DUR
0 - 1
IND
32%
22%
46%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
DUR
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DUR
2 - 2
BCF
27%
25%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
DUR
63%
20%
17%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tolosa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
CDG
58%
22%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
TOL
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 0
ZAR
39%
23%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 0
TOL
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 2
ANT
26%
23%
51%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |