Durango U19 vs DUX Logroño Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
51.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-94%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
15º
10
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 1
DUR
92%
6%
2%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DUR
3 - 3
CFG
48%
23%
29%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
4 - 2
DUR
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DUR
1 - 1
LEI
12%
18%
70%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DUR
0 - 1
UDL
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
DUX Logroño Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDE
0 - 1
SJU
55%
22%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OSA
3 - 2
CDE
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 3
ANT
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 2
CDE
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 2
TXA
16%
18%
66%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |