Duque de Caxias vs Volta Redonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 0
DUQ
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 4
FLU
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
23%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
OLA
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 2
DUQ
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 3
VOL
40%
25%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
VOL
3 - 0
BOA
33%
24%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
VOL
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
VOL
1 - 3
FLA
9%
20%
71%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
OLA
2 - 2
VOL
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |