Duque de Caxias vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 6
BRA
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
GOI
4 - 1
DUQ
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 2
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ICA
4 - 2
DUQ
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 0
ABC
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 3
GOI
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 1
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
GRÊ
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
NAU
4 - 2
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |