Duque de Caxias vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 1
DUQ
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
DUQ
3 - 2
POR
21%
25%
55%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BAH
0 - 1
DUQ
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 1
ARN
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ICA
3 - 1
DUQ
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
IFC
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
FFL
2 - 0
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 3
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |