Duque de Caxias vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
DUQ
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 1
MAD
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 0
DUQ
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 1
OLA
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 0
DUQ
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 0
AUD
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 1
BAN
85%
12%
4%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 4
FLA
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RES
2 - 4
VAS
13%
20%
66%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |