Duque de Caxias vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
DUQ
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CAX
3 - 0
DUQ
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 1
JUV
42%
26%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
TUP
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
MAD
42%
28%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MOG
3 - 0
TUP
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
TUP
2 - 1
CAX
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |