Duque de Caxias vs Tigres do Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
DUQ
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AME
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
AME
3 - 2
DUQ
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 1
VOL
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 0
DUQ
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tigres do Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
TIG
0 - 3
FLU
9%
17%
74%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
OLA
1 - 0
TIG
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 2
TIG
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
TIG
2 - 2
FOR
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AME
3 - 0
TIG
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |