Duque de Caxias vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
5 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 2
SAL
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 0
DUQ
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 2
GUA
31%
26%
42%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BOA
2 - 0
DUQ
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 0
ASA
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 3
SPO
34%
27%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
ICA
2 - 2
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
VIL
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |