Duque de Caxias vs Serrano FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
DUQ
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SFC
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
GOY
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
DUQ
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
AFC
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SFC
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 1
BAR
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
SFC
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |