Duque de Caxias vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 3
DUQ
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NCI
0 - 0
DUQ
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUQ
1 - 1
SFC
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ADC
0 - 0
DUQ
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DUQ
2 - 1
PAD
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 4
SFC
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 1
SER
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SER
0 - 4
PAD
42%
24%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
SER
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
CIG
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |