Duque de Caxias vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PPE
2 - 1
DUQ
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 1
SPO
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
5 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 2
SAL
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 0
DUQ
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 2
ICA
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAO
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BOA
4 - 1
SAO
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |