Duque de Caxias vs Rio Sao Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 3
DUQ
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DUQ
2 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CEC
3 - 3
DUQ
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 1
PER
25%
22%
52%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Sao Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
RIO
74%
17%
10%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 3
CIG
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 2
RIO
59%
21%
21%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
CEC
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 2
GOY
19%
21%
59%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +2 |