Duque de Caxias vs Resende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
3 - 1
BOT
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 2
FLA
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
DUQ
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 2
DUQ
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 1
DUQ
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
RES
93%
5%
2%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RES
5 - 2
MAC
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 1
RES
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RES
1 - 2
OLA
41%
24%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 1
RES
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |