Duque de Caxias vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 1
DUQ
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 3
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PPE
2 - 1
DUQ
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 1
SPO
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
5 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
VIT
25%
28%
48%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 1
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
GOI
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 1
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |