Duque de Caxias vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 0
DUQ
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FRI
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
DUQ
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ICA
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 2
BAN
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
FLU
3 - 1
OLA
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 0
AUD
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
5 - 1
OLA
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 0
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |