Duque de Caxias vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
DUQ
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
DUQ
3 - 4
VAS
19%
22%
58%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 2
DUQ
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
RES
1 - 0
DUQ
32%
24%
43%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 1
MAD
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 1
COT
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 2
SPO
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |