Duque de Caxias vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
CAX
3 - 0
DUQ
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 1
JUV
42%
26%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
MOG
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
DUQ
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 5
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAC
35%
26%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAD
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |