Duque de Caxias vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ICA
4 - 2
DUQ
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 0
ABC
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
DUQ
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 1
DUQ
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
ASA
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 3
PPE
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 1
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |