Duque de Caxias vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 0
DUQ
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 1
ICA
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ABC
3 - 0
DUQ
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 3
GRÊ
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
DUQ
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
GOI
2 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 3
GOI
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
GOI
4 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 0
GOI
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
PPE
2 - 1
GOI
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |