Duque de Caxias vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 1
DUQ
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 2
VOL
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AUD
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
RES
1 - 3
DUQ
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
BOT
14%
23%
63%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
FLU
5 - 1
FRI
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 1
FLU
14%
21%
65%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
0 - 3
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
FLU
15%
23%
62%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
4 - 1
BOA
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |