Duque de Caxias vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
76.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
3 - 0
DUQ
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 2
DUQ
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 1
MAD
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RES
1 - 2
DUQ
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
DUQ
3 - 2
FLU
9%
17%
75%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
FLA
3 - 1
CAB
86%
11%
4%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
IVI
0 - 5
FLA
10%
18%
72%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 3
RES
93%
5%
2%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOA
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | -1 |