Duque de Caxias vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
DUQ
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 1
COT
19%
22%
60%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 0
DUQ
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
COT
4 - 0
DUQ
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 1
RES
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 2
GUA
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FFL
3 - 2
CRI
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |