Duque de Caxias vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BOT
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
DUQ
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
DUQ
2 - 0
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
AME
2 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 3
DUQ
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
GAM
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRA
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 1
TRI
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 0
CRA
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |