Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 0-5
Duque de Caxias vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 0
DUQ
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
COT
4 - 0
DUQ
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 1
RES
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
3 - 1
BOT
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 2
FLA
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 3
COT
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 4
COT
11%
19%
71%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
COT
4 - 0
DUQ
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
JMA
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COT
6 - 2
RIO
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |