Duque de Caxias vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
SAO
4 - 0
DUQ
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 1
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
IFC
1 - 0
DUQ
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
DUQ
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BAH
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
POR
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
CEA
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
ABC
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
60%
21%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
CAM
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |