Duque de Caxias vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PPE
4 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 3
FFL
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 1
POR
23%
29%
48%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 2
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 1
PAR
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 3
POR
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 2
CAM
63%
21%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 2
PAR
22%
25%
54%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
CAM
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
4 - 2
FFL
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | +1 |