Duque de Caxias vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 2
DUQ
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
TUP
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 1
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
MAC
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 3
BRA
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
MAD
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAX
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 0
BRA
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |