Duque de Caxias vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
DUQ
3 - 1
ANG
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
DUQ
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
DUQ
0 - 0
SAO
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
DUQ
0 - 1
SAM
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BON
1 - 4
OLA
65%
22%
14%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
AUD
2 - 1
BON
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BON
0 - 1
SER
63%
22%
14%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
NCI
1 - 1
BON
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ANG
2 - 1
BON
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |