Rio Cup Last 16
Global 2-1
Duque de Caxias vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
DUQ
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
MAC
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 1
DUQ
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ADC
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CGA
0 - 1
DUQ
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 0
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 5
FLU
6%
20%
74%
|
46 | 88 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 4
VOL
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
BAN
84%
13%
4%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
MAD
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |