Duque de Caxias vs Audax Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
RES
1 - 3
DUQ
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
BOT
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
4 - 1
DUQ
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 3
MAD
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
DUQ
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
AUD
2 - 1
BOA
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FRI
3 - 0
AUD
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AUD
0 - 0
VOL
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
3 - 1
AUD
85%
12%
4%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 0
AUD
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |