Duque de Caxias vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
DUQ
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
DUQ
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SFC
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 1
SFC
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
ADC
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 2
CAB
29%
24%
48%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
ADC
61%
20%
18%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
ADC
0 - 1
SAM
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |