Duque de Caxias vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
DUQ
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ADC
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
DUQ
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
DUQ
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
ADC
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 2
AME
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AME
3 - 1
AFC
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 3
AME
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
PET
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |