Duque de Caxias vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
DUQ
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 1
DUQ
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 3
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PPE
2 - 1
DUQ
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 1
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
CRI
3 - 1
ABC
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ABC
3 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 0
ABC
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 2
VIL
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |