Dunkerque vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
DUN
1 - 0
CSL
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
ANG
1 - 1
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
DUN
1 - 1
SPI
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
LMU
2 - 0
DUN
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
DUN
0 - 1
SOC
38%
30%
32%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
LOR
2 - 0
VAL
67%
20%
12%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
VAL
1 - 0
OLY
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
STL
2 - 1
VAL
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
VAL
1 - 0
FCM
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
TFC
2 - 0
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |