Dunkerque vs Paris FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
17º
5º
43
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 50.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47.5% | 44.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
LIL
1 - 1
DUN
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 1
FCM
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
ANN
0 - 2
DUN
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 3
DUN
10%
17%
73%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 1
LOR
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
PFC
3 - 1
PAU
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 1
PFC
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PFC
4 - 1
RED
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MET
3 - 1
PFC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PFC
1 - 0
AMI
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |