Dunkerque vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 4
DUN
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 3
PAU
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
RED
1 - 2
DUN
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OSF
0 - 2
DUN
4%
10%
86%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 2
LUS
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
MET
3 - 0
STR
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
MPL
1 - 3
MET
66%
22%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 0
MET
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
REN
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
NIC
3 - 1
MET
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |