Dunkerque vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
AMI
1 - 2
DUN
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 0
IST
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 2
REN
12%
22%
66%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 0
DUN
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
RED
1 - 0
DUN
42%
29%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
STR
1 - 1
LUC
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 1
CHA
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 0
LPS
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
LUC
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
TRE
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |