Dunkerque vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
24.4%
66%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
21.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
29.4%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
MON
43%
28%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
MPL
0 - 1
DUN
70%
20%
11%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
DUN
2 - 0
SOC
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LIL
2 - 0
DUN
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 0
NAN
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 0
REN
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2009 |
STG
0 - 3
LIL
7%
23%
70%
|
85 | 38 | 47 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LIL
3 - 1
LHA
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 1
LIL
42%
29%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LIL
1 - 1
TFC
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |