Dunkerque vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
DUN
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
POI
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
IVR
4 - 1
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAB
3 - 2
DUN
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 1
SEN
68%
19%
12%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 0
AUX
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LIL
0 - 2
AUB
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
POI
2 - 2
LIL
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |