Dunkerque vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
REI
0 - 3
DUN
9%
16%
75%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 1
USB
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
DUN
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 1
COL
45%
29%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
SPI
3 - 1
DUN
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
BEL
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
ETG
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
STR
0 - 0
CON
59%
23%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
CAB
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
AVR
2 - 2
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |