Dunkerque vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
17º
6º
15
13º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 67 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 60 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
39.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 27 |
18º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
40.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
55% | 16% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 72.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
DUN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 2
DUN
6%
14%
80%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
AJA
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BET
0 - 0
DUN
3%
8%
89%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
STL
1 - 0
CAE
41%
25%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
6 - 0
USB
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 9 | 65 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 3
ROD
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 4
CAE
6%
12%
82%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MET
1 - 0
CAE
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |