Dunkerque vs Amiens SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
17º
5º
29
2º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
4 - 2
DUN
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
RED
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
STL
3 - 2
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
TRO
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 1
DUN
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
AMI
0 - 0
PFC
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 2
AMI
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AMI
3 - 1
AJA
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MET
3 - 2
AMI
58%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
AMI
2 - 1
ROD
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |