Dungannon Swifts vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
6º
5º
31
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 5 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 2
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
DUN
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
CRU
12%
17%
71%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAL
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
19%
24%
58%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CLI
9%
21%
70%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |