Dungannon Swifts vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DUN
0 - 1
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CLI
2 - 0
DUN
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 1
LIN
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 0
DUN
41%
26%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
COL
0 - 1
LIS
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 1
NEW
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 0
LIS
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIS
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LIS
1 - 6
GLE
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |