Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 0
DUN
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
NEW
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
INS
2 - 0
DUN
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
4 - 3
WAR
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 0
INS
76%
15%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIN
6%
19%
76%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |