Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
10º
4º
31
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 55 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 40 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
83% | 6% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CRU
1 - 5
DUN
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
5 - 0
RRF
79%
13%
8%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
LAR
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
46%
24%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
GLE
2 - 0
DUN
44%
23%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
GLE
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 0
POR
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
GLE
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
28%
26%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |