Dungannon Swifts vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 3
DUN
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 3
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DON
0 - 3
LIS
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CLI
2 - 1
DON
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 2
DON
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
COL
0 - 0
DON
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DON
1 - 0
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |